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2016 Investment Outlook and Australia’s property market implications

2016 Investment Outlook and Australia’s property market implications

2016 Investment Outlook and Australia’s property market implications

by Dr Andrew Unterweger | 15th January 2016

I would like to wish everyone a wonderful 2016 and every success in navigating what should be another challenging year ahead in terms of making some prudent investment decisions given the somewhat uncertain global macro-economic backdrop that we are faced with.

If I look at the newsletter I sent out at this time last year and the predictions for the year just passed, I think the only outcomes that were unforeseen, were the extent of the continued increases in property values in both Sydney and Melbourne. From a global perspective, similar themes that existed in 2015 will continue this year with the main change being the long anticipated lift off in the Fed Funds Rate and the likelihood of a further three or more such increases during the course of 2016.
The other main concern, especially for Australia and with a direct impact on the Australian property market is China, which, as everyone is aware is Australia’s major trading partner, however, the IMF forecasts suggest that China’s GDP growth could slow in percentage terms over the coming years (from double-digit rates to still rapid high single-digit rates.) and that US growth could pick up, but it still expects China to be the single largest contributor to global GDP growth in USD terms over the coming five years. Also, China’s economy is now much larger than it was when it sustained double-digit growth rates, which makes it harder to grow as quickly as it did and means that even high single digit growth rates deliver significant additions to global demand.

China’s growth is expected to have slowed to around 7% in 2015 from 10.6% in 2010, but because China is a lot larger than it was in 2010 (89% larger in USD terms and 69% larger in local currency terms) the IMF estimates that this year’s GDP growth is estimated to be equivalent to USD1,028 bn, which is slightly more than the addition to GDP in 2010 of USD 980 bn . More importantly, China’s recent Fifth Plenum, which included a significant focus on the 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-2020), saw policymakers set economic growth as a top priority. Policymakers reiterated the goal of “doubling GDP and people’s income by 2020”, which implies a minimum growth rate of around 6.5% a year over the next five years which bodes well for the Australian economy at least in the medium term although I expect this position to continue into the foreseeable future. The major risk that I can see facing the Chinese economy is the expansion that has occurring in their banking system over recent years and hence the potential for a large increase in bad debts if economic growth slows too much, which would then have a global impact.

What we as property investors need to always be mindful of is the likely interest rate environment and, as we saw in the last few months, the impact that regulatory pressures from the likes of APRA can have on both the cost and availability of bank funding to enable us to continue with our investment strategies. I think the RBA will have an even more difficult time in 2016 in terms of setting monetary policy to cope with the continuing decline in the mining sector of the economy, the resilience of the AUD and trying to manage the price growth of some of the nation’s property markets. We have seen the banks come to the aid of the RBA in terms of increasing borrowing rates out of cycle and I anticipate this could well be repeated during the year as they face more margin pressure and slowing lending growth. I am sceptical that the Banks will pass on any interest rate cuts if the RBA does cut the benchmark rate and I think the present scenario continues to favour longer term fixed rates from an investor’s viewpoint.

To summarise, I think the continuing decline in commodity prices, a strengthening USD and weakening AUD combined with a supportive monetary policy from the RBA should assist the Services and Tourism sectors of the Australian economy to continue to expand, which will be broadly supportive for the residential property market. This will continue to drive quite different outcomes for the property markets of the various states of Australia and we should see some easing in the growth rates for Sydney and Melbourne. We continue to favour Brisbane and in particular the inner middle ring ( 3 to 10 km from the CBD ) as being better placed to find value and scope for sustainable longer term growth.

We will continue to monitor all these factors over the year and share some insights along the way.

I wish you every success for 2016.

 

Best Regards,

Dr Andrew Unterweger

MB BS, CFP®, Dip FP, Dip FNS, MFAA, AFA, SMSF, REA

Meet Dr Andrew Unterweger

Dr Unterweger is a highly qualified financial and property adviser, experienced venture capitalist and successful investor

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

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Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
The New Normal – is this another illusion?

The New Normal – is this another illusion?

I thought it would be relevant to share my thoughts about this concept that I keep hearing over and over from Fund Managers ( especially in the Fixed Income markets ) that we have entered a “New Age” of lower rates for longer. My experience in the past is that every cycle brings about this paradigm shift of a new normal being created and this then takes on a life of its own as more and more people hear about it, see it being endorsed by experts and then having the media “confirm its very existance” !

The issue I have is that I have never experienced a sustainable “New Normal” ever actually play out in these cases, and I’m pretty sure that is why all languages have the word “Normal” in them in the first place.Human nature being what it is makes me believe that most economic cycles will always revert to “normal”, and that it won’t be any different in this cycle.

I agree that the key factors behind the lower-for-longer scenario in Australia is down to the shift away from mining investment, ongoing weak growth and the need for lower policy rates and a lower Australian dollar to accommodate the rebalancing of the economy.As a result, it would seem “very unlikely” that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will hike rates any time soon.

I think the Financial Markets are trying to “talk their own book” to continue to make easy money in a QE environment and use the media to try to force the Fed to hold off the rate raising cycle in the US ( which affects markets globally ). As I have told our clients this year, I cannot see why the Fed won’t start raising rates at the September meeting as the domestic US economic indicators point to this being a prudent course of action, notwithstanding the recent turmoil in global equity markes caused by the Chinese devaluation of the RMB and a general increase in volatility. Anyway, we will find out soon enough, and if this doesn’t occur, it is simply delaying the inevitable and we will continue to speculate about the October meeting outcome.

The key take away from this is that once the Fed started raising rates, it will put pressure on bond yields globally, including Australia which will increase the cost of borrowing, perhaps initially in the larger corporate sector, but this will then filter down the food chain and so I think it is an opportune time to look at fixing some personal debt that is being used for investment purposes, and I would look at a 5 year duration as I think rates will normalise and that the “new normal in interest rates” will just be something we remember in the future as being a fundamentally unsustainable figment of the popular imagination.

I hope you find this interesting reading and that it helps you make better informed decisions.

 

Best Regards,

Dr Andrew Unterweger

MB BS, CFP®, Dip FP, Dip FNS, MFAA, AFA, SPAA, REA

 

 


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Standard Life Investments believes that while the “self-sustaining” economic recovery in the US will soon drive interest rates higher there, the Reserve Bank of Australia is unlikely to raise rates any time soon.

Standard Life Investments believes that while the “self-sustaining” economic recovery in the US will soon drive interest rates higher there, the Reserve Bank of Australia is unlikely to raise rates any time soon.

Sebastian Mackay, Standard Life Investments investment director and joint portfolio manager of the Absolute Return Global Bond Strategy, shared his thoughts last week with MortgageBusiness’s sister publication InvestorDaily.

According to Mr Mackay, Standard Life Investments’ central scenario is one of a weak global recovery rather than deflation, although he concedes a deflationary scenario is “not that unlikely”.

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AUSTRALIA NAMED ‘WORLD’S GREENEST PROPERTY INDUSTRY’

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For the fifth year running, the region of Australia and New Zealand topped the annual survey, which is conducted by GRESB, a Dutch-based industry group.

Property companies in Australia and New Zealand achieved an average score of 69, which was well ahead of the other regions.

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CONFIDENCE GROWS, CAR SALES UP

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Reserve Bank Board minutes: weekly consumer confidence; car sales

  • Consumer sentiment: the weekly ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.6% last week to stand 0.6% higher than a year ago.
  • New vehicle sales: sales fell by 1.3% in July but were still up 3.7% on a year ago. The annual total of new vehicle sales hit a 19-month high and is 0.6% below record highs.
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What does it all mean?

Consumer confidence is stuck in a groove at present. That is far from negative as the current confidence reading is above both short and longer-term averages. Factors like the Aussie dollar, petrol prices, home prices and sharemarket fluctuations will be important in driving confidence in the future together with political influences. The greatest threat to consumer confidence is the negativity of major political parties.

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Australian Home Prices and Interest Rates – April 2015

Australian Home Prices and Interest Rates – April 2015

Hi Everyone,

The case for the RBA resuming interest rate cuts this year has been fairly clear: commodity prices have fallen more than expected; the $AUD has remained relatively high; while residential construction and consumer spending are okay the outlook for business investment has deteriorated pointing to overall growth remaining sub-par; and inflation is low. This has seen the cash rate fall to 2.25%. While the RBA left rates on hold at its April meeting, it retains an easing bias pointing to further cuts ahead.

Whilst some of the data such as the latest ABS jobs numbers are contradictory, I still believe that we will get further Rate reductions and that this will continue to be supportive for for Growth Assets such as Property. Since this will increase the affordability on a national basis, I believe we will continue to see price growth in the Sydney market even though there are constant stories of this being in bubble territory.

The jobs data has caused the Aussie Dollar to appreciate above 78 cents to the USD due to the market now thinking that the RBA is now more likely to leave rates on hold at the May meeting, however, this in itself causes another problem for the RBA as it is trying to talk the currency down to add some stimulus to the Economy.

BetaShares chief economist David Bassanese has forecast the official cash rate to end the year at 1.5 per cent and the Australian dollar to sink to US68 cents. According to Mr Bassanese, the monthly level of home building approvals is already near previous cyclical peaks, suggesting there is little room to further increase supply.

“Should home building approvals peak within coming months, it would also mean home building activity will start to decline by late this year [or] early 2016 – undercutting what has recently been an important source of economic growth,” he said.

The other piece of trivia which comes up at this time of year …… every year, is the speculation that the Government is going to abolish negative gearing. I’ve learnt that it is unwise to make categorical sweeping statements, but I was speaking to some clients two weeks ago about this and told them that “Negative Gearing will not be affected in the Budget”. Fortunately, Tony Abbott made the statement to the Press last week so that we can now put this to bed, at least for this year !

As always, I hope you find this interesting reading and that it helps you make better informed decisions.

 

Best Regards,

Dr Andrew Unterweger

MB BS, CFP®, Dip FP, Dip FNS, MFAA, AFA, SPAA, REA

 

 

The negative gearing myth of 1985: ACOSS

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Despite a small fall in February, building approvals remain close to record highs and new home sales remain solid, pointing to continued strength in dwelling construction, Mr Oliver said.

“While home prices continued to rise in March this was concentrated in Sydney, with other cities decidedly soft, indicating that despite the hoopla, home price momentum overall is waning,” he said.

“It is also noteworthy that there has been some modest loss of momentum in investor housing credit.”

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Meet Dr Andrew Unterweger

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RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

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John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

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Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

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The Outlook for 2015 and Property Market Implications

The Outlook for 2015 and Property Market Implications

Hi Everyone,

It’s this time of year when all the reviews for the year just passed and the year to come make their annual appearances.

I won’t dwell on 2014 as we now all know what has happened, but instead lets’ have a look at what 2015 may bring us as global political and economic factors can play an important role in the performance of asset prices in the future.

A recent CoreLogic-RP Data report has addressed many of these issues but details far too much historical data and focusses only on domestic issues. The recent fall in commodity prices, but particularly in the oil price and the prospect of significantly lower oil prices for the near to medium term may have a major impact on global growth over 2015.

This could provide a major boost for commodity-importers like India, China (to a lesser extent), the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia. They are the countries going into next year that are going to continue to do well and are going to have a tailwind of a tax cuts and falling inflation. The losers are Russia, Brazil, Chile, Peru, Nigeria, and the Middle East.

If we look at this scenario developing, it should continue to bring further investment in Australian property as this trend has already developed over the last few years and it is mainly from the countries that are likely to experience this positive impact to their domestic economies.

From an Australian viewpoint, pivotal to the property market performance will be the direction of interest rates. There is growing debate that the next rates movement may be down rather than up. A further reduction in the cash rate will bring mortgage rates even lower than their current record low settings.

Theoretically, lower rates should provide a boost to housing market conditions, however, if this stimulus does transpire, it is likely to be balanced by pervasively low consumer confidence and softer labour markets. For the RBA, ongoing delay in the non-mining investment recovery will potentially cause some concerns. Whilst residential approvals declined early this quarter, the fall is not yet concerning from a central bank perspective.

The level of approvals remains elevated, and continues to suggest solid increases in housing supply. I think the balance of risks for monetary policy lies with the non-residential sector. The longer the economy’s growth rotation remains elusive the closer the RBA will be towards being pushed into an easing bias.

Additionally, the impact of the recent APRA announcement around investment lending may act to restrict the availability of finance to investors. The banking sector will be under scrutiny to keep growth in investor loans at slower than 10% pace of growth which is likely to have some downwards pressure on investor related housing demand.

I do not foresee this as a negative as it will help to keep a better overall balance in demand, if indeed we see anything actually come to pass.

Sydney and Melbourne have been the standouts for capital gains over the current growth phase, however the level of growth compared with last year is now lower as some heat leaves these markets. Just three of Australia’s capital cities are expected to experience higher capital growth in 2015 than they have this year.

CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless forecast that only Brisbane, Adelaide and Hobart would improve, with Brisbane the standout.

“We are expecting the annual rate of capital gain to finish the year around 7.0 per cent, compared with 5.1 per cent over the 2013 calendar year,” Mr Lawless said.

“With the rate of capital gain holding relatively firm over the second half of 2014, fewer affordability pressures and better rental yields than Sydney or Melbourne, we are expecting growth in Brisbane dwelling values to outperform the capital city average.”

Overall I am expecting another solid year of housing market conditions and further capital gains, albeit at a more sustainable rate that what we have seen over 2014.

I would like to wish everyone a very Happy and Prosperous New Year!

As always, I hope you find this interesting reading and that it helps you make better informed decisions.

Best Regards,

Dr Andrew Unterweger MB BS, CFP®, Dip FP, Dip FNS, MFAA, AFA, SPAA, REA

Demand to drive Darwin and Brisbane markets

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Property group Raine & Horne is predicting bumper demand in the Brisbane and Darwin real estate markets.

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Big four bank praises strength of Australian system

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Westpac retains interest rate cut forecast

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3 capital cities primed for growth in 2015

Just three of Australia’s capitals are expected to experience higher capital growth in the New Year than they did in 2014.

Sydney commercial market 64 per cent cheaper than London

Three Australian cities have been named among the top 50 most expensive office markets in the world, although they are far cheaper than the leaders. More>>

---

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
Brisbane Prices Attracting Sydney and Melbourne Investors

Brisbane Prices Attracting Sydney and Melbourne Investors

Hi Everyone,

There have been some interesting reports coming out in the last few weeks, and the Reserve Bank of Australia once again kept rates on hold which was widely anticipated by the market in general.

This report from BIS Shrapnel should be of interest to all property investors :

“Brisbane and Sydney will be the clear leaders in house price growth over the next three years, a new report has revealed. Construction analyst BIS Shrapnel forecast that median house prices will increase in all capital cities by 2017, with Brisbane and Sydney recording double-digit percentage gains.

Brisbane’s median house prices are expected to climb by 17 per cent to $555,000 in the next three years, while Sydney is predicted to jump 10 per cent to $875,000.”

According to BIS Shrapnel senior manager Angie Zigomanis, house price growth will continue to be spurred on by low interest rates and an increasing population.

I have added an article about the surge in house prices in London since the local Australian press seems to have a love affair with stories about a potentially spurious Australian property boom. It’s interesting to note the following :

“Values in the capital surged 26 percent in the three months through June from the same period a year earlier, the biggest increase since 1987, Britain’s third-largest mortgage lender said in a statement. At an average 400,404 pounds ($686,700), prices in the city stand 30 percent above their 2007 peak.”

 It’s worth remembering that once you have established a suitable area to invest in based on non-emotional research, one of the biggest influences on the relative long term capital appreciation of your investment is the purchase price and this will largely be determined on where that area is placed in the current property cycle !

As you can see below, the forecast increases in value range between 17% for Brisbane and 3% for Canberra, Darwin and Perth

 

HOUSE PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING IN ALL CAPITAL CITIES

Brisbane and Sydney will be the clear leaders in house price growth over the next three years, a new report has revealed. More>>

BRISBANE PRICES ATTRACTING SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE INVESTORS

The Brisbane market may be on the brink of a turnaround, with a new sentiment survey signalling rising investor optimism. More>>

Burgeoning population to boost housing demand

Broker News
With Australia’s population heading towards 24 million people, the latest ABS demographic statistics indicate an increased demand for housing according to the Housing Industry Association.

Click here to read more.

Bloomberg – London House Prices Surge the Most Since 1987, Nationwide Says http://bloom.bg/1rW9id4

Best Regards,

Dr Andrew Unterweger, MB.BS, CFP®, Dip FNS, Dip FP, SPAA, AFA, MFAA

Chairman

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
Singaporean investors hungry for a piece of the Australian housing market

Singaporean investors hungry for a piece of the Australian housing market

Singaporean investors hungry for a piece of the Australian housing market

By Eryk Bagshaw

In glamorous five star hotels across Singapore every weekend, property investors are lining up to buy a slice of the Australian dream.

Cashed up investors are piling into packed presentations at venues such as the famous St Regis hotel about shiny apartments being built from Sydney to Melbourne. Newspaper ads spruiking waterfront developments are commonplace.

“Buy where the local Australians are buying,” says one ad in Singapore’s Straits Times.

Singaporean investors are being lured by a combination of new, prohibitive taxes on second homes in the island state, record low interest rates, a strong currency and promises of attractive returns from Australian developers.

‘‘Singaporeans are hungry for Australian property,’’ says Adam Sparkes, director of sales at property developer Crown Group International, which has $3.5 billion in development sites across Australia. Read more . . . 

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
Inner City predicted to Outperform

Inner City predicted to Outperform

Hi Everyone,

On Tuesday the Reserve Bank of Australia announced the outcome of its fifth board meeting of the year.

As widely predicted, the RBA announced it will be keeping the cash rate on hold at 2.5 per cent.

A survey conducted by loan comparison website finder.com.au prior to the board meeting found 16 Australian economists unanimously predicted no cash rate change. However, more than half of those surveyed predict the

cash rate will rise next year. Five respondents from Commonwealth Bank, CommSec, Urbis, HSBC and St George Bank expect to see a cash rate rise by the end of the year. Ten of the 16 participants suggested the public’s

reaction to federal Budget cuts will delay the change in cash rate, with nine stating the economy still has to grow in stability before any significant cash rate changes occur

The other point of interest is one that I often share with people when we’re discussing observable trends in the residential property market ;

Demand for inner-city housing is likely to surge in the future, while regional areas and outer suburbs will attract ever fewer buyers, according to a leading economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). “The trade-off between space and place is getting steeper. Locating on the fringe is relatively less attractive than it used to be, and not only because the fringe is moving further out,” she said.

According to RBA data, the gap between prices in the inner ring and the outer suburbs is widening as desirability pushes up prices.

The RBA’s head of financial stability, Luci Ellis, recently spoke about Australia’s housing. These are the five points you must know about her property market speech.

Inner-city predicted to outperform regions
Demand for inner-city housing is likely to surge in the future, while regional areas and outer suburbs will attract ever fewer buyers, according to a leading economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia. More>>

Housing at most affordable level since 2002

Housing is now at its most affordable level in 12 years thanks to growth in disposable incomes, according to new research. More >>>

The Reserve Bank of Australia has today announced the outcome of its fifth board meeting of the year. More>>

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
NAB’s View of Residential House Prices – Brisbane & Sydney to outperform

NAB’s View of Residential House Prices – Brisbane & Sydney to outperform

Hi Everyone,

I thought the interview with John Edwards from Residex is worth looking at to get a bit of an overview of the Australian market, and he thinks that Sydney and Melbourne may have peaked for this cycle, However, if we look at the NAB’s view, we can see that they predict quite robust rises for most regions.

I think it is simply common sense to focus on the two states with the most diversified economies, which are Queensland and NSW, when selecting an area for property investment, unless you have no choice due personal reasons which may restrict your selection capability. Too often we see individuals making potentially incorrect strategic decisions based solely on an emotional bias due to wanting to invest in the same location that they live in.

ANZ chief economist Warren Hogan told the Committee of Economic Development of Australia that the “housing market is at the early stages of a solid cyclical upswing” fed by low-interest rates and market shortfalls.

“We expect a 15-20 per cent lift in home prices between 2013 and 2015,” he said with long-awaited rises already underway in Sydney and Melbourne” ANZ one of the country’s biggest banks expects house prices to rise as much as 20 per cent before the end of next year, with lifts predicted to begin soon in parts of Queensland.

NAB modelling indicates that average capital city house prices will rise by around 6% through the year to December 2014 and by 5% in the year to December 2015, which is more bullish than the average survey forecast. House price growth should be supported by continued low-interest rates, improved affordability, population growth, long-standing supply issues and foreign buying activity.

However, unemployment pressures and the economy are likely to put a ceiling on how high house prices will go.

Brisbane (6.4%), Perth (6.3%) and Sydney (6%) lead the way forward in 2014, with much slower growth predicted in Adelaide (2.1%) due to high unemployment and an under-performing state economy. State variance will persist through 2015, with Brisbane (6%) and Sydney (5.1%) out-performing the national average. Modest price growth is also forecast for Perth (4.6%) and Melbourne (3.4%), but Adelaide (2.6%) continues to under-perform.

 

SydneyProperty_518x344_normal

Dwelling values continue upward trend

All capital cities posted a month-on-month increase in dwelling values in March, with Brisbane the market to watch, new research has revealed.

Dwelling values rose by 2.4% over March, equating to a 3.5% capital gain over Q1 according to the RP Data-Rismark Home Value Index.

Over the past three months, all capital cities apart from Perth posted a rise in dwelling values. Melbourne led the charge, up 5.4% over the quarter, followed by Hobart (up 4.7%) and Sydney (up 4.4%).

Sydney’s housing market has recorded record high dwelling values and is now 15.8% higher than its previous peak, says RP Data research director Tim Lawless. This compares to Melbourne’s growth of 4.7% from its previous peak, Perth’s growth of 2.9% and Canberra’s growth of 1.2%. read more...

Capital city property supply levels tighten 


james- Switzer brokerBy Craig James
Judging by the low supply of stock on capital city housing markets, home prices are likely to remain firm for some time.RP Data arguably has the best information on housing supply, claiming 100 per cent coverage of listings. RP Data says that it “tracks listing numbers nationally via real estate portals and print media as well as sourcing listings data directly from many of the major real estate groups. read more...

 

johnedwards-20140403_original.png?1396571321

By John Edwards
Is the housing bubble a myth or reality? For his views on house prices, John Edwards from Residex joins Broker TV.  Watch it now 

Brisbane inner north

Outstanding price growth for Brisbane’s inner north

Apartments in Brisbane’s inner-northern suburbs have been consistently achieving double-digit annual growth since around 2008, according to a local real estate group.

Director of Position Property Richard Lawrence said information from RP Data shows Albion, Clayfield, Ascot and Hamilton had annual price growth of 16 per cent over the past six years.

“Whether it is owners or investors, these figures represent not only market growth in the region but continued confidence in the inner-north suburbs,” Mr Lawrence said. read more …

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
RBA upgrades Domestic Economic Growth

RBA upgrades Domestic Economic Growth

Hi Everyone,

Here are some articles of interest to anyone looking at investments in Australia.

As an aside I’ve included a snippet from Tim Farrelly who emphasizes that “ Buy high, sell low still seems to be the preferred strategy for many financial advisors “ and I think this is also true for many investors. That’s why we always continue to stress that it is important to invest in quality assets, preferably when they are under-priced to comparable investments. When looking at this in the context of property investments in Australia, the best avenue to use this basic principle is to compare what is happening in different locations.

Australia’s central bank signalled the end of a two-year easing cycle and foreshadowed stronger economic growth, sending the nation’s currency higher.

Governor Glenn Stevens kept the overnight cash-rate target at 2.5 percent, saying in a statement in Sydney “the most prudent course is likely to be a period of stability in interest rates.” He said the Australian dollar’s decline “will assist in achieving balanced growth,” dropping references in past statements that it was “uncomfortably high.”

The RBA is trying to stimulate housing construction to pick up some of the slack in the labour market from waning mining investment, and has previously said that higher property prices are needed to spur the building industry.

“Credit growth remains low overall but is picking up gradually for households,” the RBA said today. “Dwelling prices have increased further over the past several months.”

A private RP Data-Rismark home value index released this week showed house and apartment prices rose 9.8 percent in major cities in the year to Jan. 31. In and around Sydney, prices in some suburbs have surged as much as 27 percent in the past year.

Read the full story at http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-03/rba-holds-key-rate-at-record-low-2-5-as-currency-pressure-eases.html

 

RBA upgrades domestic economic growth

The Reserve Bank of Australia has upgraded domestic economic growth alongside its latest inflation forecasts, while Perpetual Investments has predicted positives for investors. More>>

 

Perspectives – latest

pcf_tn_Tim-Farrelly_70x70.jpgBlowing in the wind
In December, a report on asset allocation trends and intentions of financial planners crossed my desk. The voice in my head sang the Dylan classic “How many times…”
Tim Farrelly, farrelly’s | Opinion

 

Brisbane’s next growth suburbs identified

The inner-northern suburbs of Brisbane will offer the best prospects for capital growth and rental returns in the city, according to Position Property. Read More…

 

Sydney, Melbourne push values 1.2 pc higher in January

Property prices in the capital cities have continued 2013’s impressive gains, with a 1.2 per cent increase for the first month of 2014. More>>

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...
National property clock points to Brisbane boom

National property clock points to Brisbane boom

Hi Everyone,

Here are a few interesting articles that came up during the week.

Paul Bennion from Depro said “While Brisbane has been an underperforming property market for several years, there is every indication that property prices in the city will boom during 2014”

I take a more conservative view as I don’t believe we have seen a “boom” anywhere to date and the market in some cities has simply been catching up on sub trend growth from prior years. However, prices in Brisbane are still below pre-GFC levels, while Sydney is about 10% above now, so there is a greater likelihood of better capital growth in the Queensland over the next few years. I agree with the article by John McGrath and his view : “I think Sydney will have a strong Autumn as the Spring momentum carries over to 2014, but I’m not expecting the same intensity of demand for the entire year. My guess is 5-10% growth in prices this year but certain market segments will, of course, perform better than others. “

The other comforting news for most property investors is that the banks are now looking to increase market share by increasing competition in the fixed rate mortgage market. This means that you can now make meaningful investments and lock in what I think are extremely cheap interest rates for a long time frame, and this can provide the long term cash flow certainty that will create genuine “peace of mind” for most investors.

And, lastly an outlook on the Aussie $ for 2014 ……….. most forecasts seem to be in the 82 – 85 range against the USD by year end.

 

National property clock points to Brisbane boom

While Brisbane has been an underperforming property market for several years, there is every indication that property prices in the city will boom during 2014. Read more…

 

Major bank cuts fixed rates

As the battle for customers intensifies, a second major bank has announced a cut to its fixed rate on selected home loan products. More>>

 

Non-major slashes fixed rates

Following recent cuts to fixed rates by two major banks, a non-major has followed suit, slashing its fixed rates by up to 40 basis points. More>>

 

Looking ahead in 2014 


mcgrath_3.jpgJohn McGrath
After a phenomenal spring season in Sydney last year, I’m expecting another good year for Sydney.
Click here to read more.

 

Richard Grace speaking on Bloomberg about CBA’s FX forecast changes

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/japan-s-yen-losing-safe-haven-status-grace-says-6~BVQ~XlRfW6n7B2Mxiodg.html

Best Regards,

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Australian property

More Articles

Lending- Australian Property Market – Capital Gains Tax – Election outcome – 11th June 2019

11Join us on the 24th May - LEARN HOW TO MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF BEING AN EXPAT   June 11th, 2019  |  6:30pm   Seminar Description I would like to invite you to an exclusive boardroom workshop, Tuesday 11th June covering purchasing and financing property in...

Looking For A Good Rental Investment? Try Near Supermarkets

Are you looking for an investment property? Buying a property to rent out is a significant investment that will put extra cash into your pocket every month. You might have narrowed down the suburb you’d like to invest in, but...

Learn From The Habits Of Successful Property Investors

The fact that property is an unpredictable market to invest in is nothing new. How then do property investors take calculated risks that yield success? Is it all just a guessing game? While there are formulae to calculate a possible outcome at any given moment,...

15 common myths that are killing the wealth potential of the average Australian property investor

There are many myths and false beliefs that you may be feeding yourself, that may be hindering your progress as a property investor. We are here to debunk some of these myths and help you make progress in seeing the property investment industry for the...

Everything You Need To Know About Australia’s Property Market Cycles

Most markets in the world consistently go through periods of growth contraction, and the property market is no different. While some might feel that this constant shift means that getting the most out of their property investments will be difficult, it is the...

Why You Should Invest In Brisbane’s Property Market

To many it might feel like the Sydney property market is difficult to penetrate in terms of property investments. Seeing as most suburbs within 50km of the city’s central business district have a median house price higher than $500 000, this sentiment is...