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Hi Everyone,

There have been some interesting reports coming out in the last few weeks, and the Reserve Bank of Australia once again kept rates on hold which was widely anticipated by the market in general.

This report from BIS Shrapnel should be of interest to all property investors :

“Brisbane and Sydney will be the clear leaders in house price growth over the next three years, a new report has revealed. Construction analyst BIS Shrapnel forecast that median house prices will increase in all capital cities by 2017, with Brisbane and Sydney recording double-digit percentage gains.

Brisbane’s median house prices are expected to climb by 17 per cent to $555,000 in the next three years, while Sydney is predicted to jump 10 per cent to $875,000.”

According to BIS Shrapnel senior manager Angie Zigomanis, house price growth will continue to be spurred on by low interest rates and an increasing population.

I have added an article about the surge in house prices in London since the local Australian press seems to have a love affair with stories about a potentially spurious Australian property boom. It’s interesting to note the following :

“Values in the capital surged 26 percent in the three months through June from the same period a year earlier, the biggest increase since 1987, Britain’s third-largest mortgage lender said in a statement. At an average 400,404 pounds ($686,700), prices in the city stand 30 percent above their 2007 peak.”

 It’s worth remembering that once you have established a suitable area to invest in based on non-emotional research, one of the biggest influences on the relative long term capital appreciation of your investment is the purchase price and this will largely be determined on where that area is placed in the current property cycle !

As you can see below, the forecast increases in value range between 17% for Brisbane and 3% for Canberra, Darwin and Perth

 

HOUSE PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING IN ALL CAPITAL CITIES

Brisbane and Sydney will be the clear leaders in house price growth over the next three years, a new report has revealed. More>>

BRISBANE PRICES ATTRACTING SYDNEY AND MELBOURNE INVESTORS

The Brisbane market may be on the brink of a turnaround, with a new sentiment survey signalling rising investor optimism. More>>

Burgeoning population to boost housing demand

Broker News
With Australia’s population heading towards 24 million people, the latest ABS demographic statistics indicate an increased demand for housing according to the Housing Industry Association.

Click here to read more.

Bloomberg – London House Prices Surge the Most Since 1987, Nationwide Says http://bloom.bg/1rW9id4

Best Regards,

Dr Andrew Unterweger, MB.BS, CFP®, Dip FNS, Dip FP, SPAA, AFA, MFAA

Chairman

0 Comments

RATES FORECAST TO FALL TO 2PC

By Smart Property Investor Staff Reporter

Friday, 06 February 2015

Two prominent economists have praised the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to reduce the cash rate and have predicted at least one more cut to come.

Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson said the Reserve Bank had made the right decision to reduce the cash rate from 2.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

Dr Wilson also said that another cut is likely, given that the economy received minimal stimulus from the succession of rate cuts between October 2011 and August 2013.

 

“We haven’t had much action from cutting from 4.75 per cent to 2.5 per cent, so I’m not sure what a 0.25 per cent improvement is going to do,” he told Smart Property Investment's sister publication Real Estate Business.

“Certainly the Reserve Bank had to act – it’s really the only tool in the box that we’ve got left.”

read more...

Pricing gaps across product types and capital cities are widening

by Cameron Kusher

30 January 2015

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

The cost of Sydney housing relative to other capital cities is widening and the cost of buying a house as opposed to a unit is increasing as a record number of units commence construction.

According to median selling prices over the three months to December 2014 published in the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index report, the gap between capital city house and unit prices has never been greater. As at December 2014, the capital city median house price was almost 20% higher than the capital city median house price. In dollar value terms, median house prices are $100,000 greater than unit prices. read more...

 

John McGrath ignites Sydney's "hot forever" inner ring debate

by Jonathan Chancellor

1 FEBRUARY 2015

John McGrath has always been passionate about the property prospects of Sydney’s inner ring suburbs. But last week he went a little further, saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be “hot forever”

But last week he went a little further saying suburbs close to the city are becoming so desirable that they will be "hot forever".

The high profile agent stopped short of declaring inner city property prices were immune from price falls.

But the chief executive of McGrath Estate Agents told Fairfax Media these areas would always be attractive to buyers.

"There is just no end of demand from overseas and local buyers who want to live in those precincts," McGrath said.

read more..

 

 

 

 

Sydney property bubble to pop when rates rise, says HSBC

Wednesday, 11 Feb 2015   |

James Mitchell

0

·

·        A fresh round of cheap credit is further inflating Sydney’s investor-driven property prices.

In a research note released yesterday, HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Daniel Smith predict strong national housing price growth to continue at seven to eight per cent, driven by record-low mortgage rates.

“We see Sydney prices rising by 9 to 10 per cent in 2015 and expect that, when rates do eventually rise, there is now a high risk that Sydney will see price falls,” the economists said.

“Although we do not see a national housing bubble, we believe that growth in Sydney housing prices is currently running at an unsustainable pace and that any further growth is likely to be met by housing price declines in future years, when interest rates do begin to rise,” they said.

A signal of the growing risk of overinflation in the Sydney market is the high level of investor demand, according to HSBC.

Read more…

https://www.mortgagebusiness.com.au/breaking-news/8152-sydney-property-bubble-to-pop-when-rates-rise-says-hsbc

 

 

 

 

 

JESSIE RICHARDSON | 10 FEBRUARY 2015

Melbourne growth to stand out in 2016: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

Melbourne will see the highest price growth of any capital city next year, HSBC has forecast.

In the latest HSBC Australia Downunder Digest report, HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham forecasts 4% to 8% price growth in Melbourne for 2016, after 7% to 8% growth in 2015.

Bloxham expects that in 2015, Melbourne and Sydney will "continue to outpace the rest of the nation", noting that from its mid-2012 trough, Melbourne's housing prices have increased by 20%. Read more

http://www.propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/40049-melbourne-growth-to-stand-out-in-2016-paul-bloxham.html

 

Commonwealth Bank posts 8pc half-year profit rise to $4.5b

By business reporter Michael Janda

Updated 11 Feb 2015, 5:49am

 

PHOTO: The Commonwealth Bank has posted its half-year results. (ABC News: Nic MacBean, file photo)

The Commonwealth Bank has reported an 8 per cent rise in half-year profit to $4.54 billion.

The bank's preferred cash measure of net profit, which adjusts for some accounting items, also rose 8 per cent to $4.62 billion.

CBA said its improved profit came on the back of a 5 per cent increase in revenue, despite subdued conditions in the lending market.

It also said it had lowered its cost to income ratio by 70 basis points to 42.2 per cent, as productivity initiatives continued to contain business expenses.

Read more…

 

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-11/cba-half-year-profit-result/6084926

 

 

 

 

 

Brisbane Prices Attracting Sydney and Melbourne Investors

Washington Green Property

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